Europa League Qualifying Best Bets - Second Qualifying Round First-Legs
22 Jul 2026
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EPL Matchweek 1 Report – Winners, Losers & Betting Value
- Sunderland's 3-0 win over West Ham was the biggest upset, priced at 3.65.
- Arsenal's away victory at Manchester United at 2.10 odds was a key highlight.
- Chelsea and Aston Villa disappointed, failing to meet expectations as favorites.
Brentford's Brazilian striker #09 Igor Thiago celebrates (Getty Images)
- Big Value Winners
- Surprising Away Wins
- Favorites Who Delivered
- Letdowns
- Balanced Outcomes
Matchweek 1 of the 2025/26 Premier League didn’t just bring goals, it brought drama in the betting markets.
We’ve broken down who delivered value for punters, which underdogs defied expectations, and where favorites fell short. From Sunderland’s shock win to Arsenal’s statement away victory, here’s how the opening round shaped up for football bettors.
Big Value Winners
Sunderland (3.65 vs West Ham)
Sunderland produced the biggest betting upset of the round. Priced at 3.65, they didn’t just edge out West Ham, they hammered them 3–0. For punters who backed the Black Cats, this was the payout of the weekend.
Nottingham Forest (2.20 vs Brentford)
At odds of 2.20, Forest weren’t runaway favorites, but they played like it, winning 3-1 at home. A strong value win that will have boosted accumulator slips.
Surprising Away Wins
Arsenal (2.10 at Manchester United)
Beating United at Old Trafford is always a headline-grabber. Doing it at 2.10 odds made it even sweeter for Arsenal backers. A disciplined 1–0 victory made them the best away value of Matchweek 1.
Newcastle (3.65 for the Draw at Villa)
Not a win, but Newcastle’s away draw came in at 3.65, making them an unexpected money-maker for those who trusted their resilience.
Favorites Who Delivered
Manchester City (1.54 vs Wolves)
A routine 4–0 win, doing exactly what the bookies predicted.
Liverpool (1.35 vs Bournemouth)
A high-scoring 4–2 win, rewarding bettors who took the short price.
Letdowns
Aston Villa (2.43 vs Newcastle)
Expected to win at home, but couldn’t find the net. A frustrating goalless draw for backers.
Chelsea (1.86 vs Crystal Palace)
Another disappointment. A 0-0 draw left punters questioning whether Chelsea can be trusted as favorites early in the season.
Balanced Outcomes
Brighton (1.92) vs Fulham (3.85)
The draw landed at 3.85, rewarding those who backed a stalemate in what always looked a tight fixture.
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