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2026 FIFA World Cup Winner Betting Odds – Can Argentina defend their FIFA World Cup crown?

Ben
16 Jul 2026
Ben Darvill 16 Jul 2026
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  • Spain will take on Argentina in the 2026 World Cup final. 
  • Argentina won the 2022 World Cup while Spain won Euro 2024. 
  • France and England eliminated in the semi-finals. 
Lionel Messi of Argentina (Getty Images)
Lionel Messi of Argentina (Getty Images)
Hosted by Canada, Mexico and the USA, the grand final of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is here, with the biggest match in sport now set. 

Argentina may be the reigning champions, but are they are not favourites to defend their crown, with Spain currently seen as the side to back. 

You can see the latest 2026 World Cup winner odds in the table below. 
World Cup WinnerOdds
Spain1.61
Argentina2.30
Note: Odds from Stake and correct on 16/7/2026
The biggest tournament in sport has not disappointed, with more than a month of football providing unbelievable stories, stunning goals and major shocks aplenty. 

With the grand final here, European side Spain are seen as the side to back. Reigning champions Argentina are their only remaining rival, with the side one win away from defending their World Cup crown. 

The semi-finals of the World Cup saw major shocks and stunning moments on the pitch. 

Spain beat France in a 2-0 win that saw the former showcase their incredible ability to keep the ball and suffocate the opposition. France had no answer to Spain, with Kylian Mbappe and his side kept at arm's length throughout the contest.

The second semi-final saw Argentina come back from 1-0 down to eliminate England in a pulsating match. After going a goal up, England reverted to a very defensive mindset, allowing Argentina a lot of time on the ball. Lionel Messi turned provider in the semi-final as he assisted both late goals to see England knocked out in a match that ended 2-1. 

Now, with only one game left to come, either Spain or Argentina will be left holding the World Cup trophy. For Argentina, this seems like a swansong for Lionel Messi, with the reigning champions looking to help him to consecutive titles. Of course, Messi is so influential that him appearing at another World Cup is not completely out of the question, but it looks very unlikely.

Meanwhile, Spain showed they were the best team in Europe by winning Euro 2024, and they now have the chance to show they are the best side in the world by securing the 2026 World Cup trophy. 

The odds suggest there is little between the sides, and this will likely be shown on the pitch. If Spain can keep the ball and frustrate Argentina then they will feel they are the team to back, but you simply cannot back completely against Messi. 

Can Argentina defend their World Cup title or will Spain secure the trophy this year?